Value Bet Or Check Down River With Set? – Hand Of The Day

Villain in this hand is TheYeti, he runs 16/9/1.43 over 1000 hands. We haven’t tangled much, when we do it’s usually me three-betting his LP raise and him giving a speech then folding.

Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold’em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (MP2): $205.35
CO: $135.55
BTN: $52.60
SB: $84.70
BB: $198
UTG: $241.80
UTG+1: $354.35
UTG+2: $187.30
MP1: $172.75

Pre-Flop: 9 9 dealt to Hero (MP2)
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $2, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $10, 3 folds, BB calls $8, UTG+2 calls $8

Flop: ($31) K 4 J (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

Chose to peel not c-bet here. Connected board, two callers. Pretty standard right?

Turn: ($31) 9 (3 Players)
BB bets $26, UTG+2 folds, Hero raises to $85, BB calls $59

TheYeti leads out, is he only calling my raise here if he has me beat?

River: ($201) 7 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets ????

The flush draw got there, possible straight, higher sets. Value betting extracts from KJ/44, but I’m not so sure that is such a big part of his range here. In years gone by I would have been happy to check this down, but now I’m always looking to value bet where I can… is this too thin?

About the Author: Andrew Ferguson

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